The bailout fiasco is just now starting to show up for the act of
desperation that many suspected it was. Instead of allowing markets to
resolve a severely over-leveraged and distorted economy, the government
decided to try to “bluff” its way through one more time. This strategy
has been one used for almost 5 decades. Each time the credit stimulus
required is bigger than the last. Each time the distortions to relative
prices is made worse. Each time the misallocation of resources becomes
greater. Each time the credit levels of individuals and government
expand. Each time inflation becomes a bigger problem. Finally, a time
comes when malinvestment and credit burdens are too large to be
supported. It is probable that we have reached that point. To
appreciate how far we have come regarding the abuses of credit creation,
one need only note that since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913,
the dollar has lost about 96% of its purchasing power. Most of that loss
(probably in excess of 90%) has occurred since 1980.
There are still many that believe that government actions will get us
out of our predicament. They won’t. When we come out of this mess, it
will be in spite of these actions. They will serve to make the problem
worse and cause it to last much longer. Japan has been employing
similar stimuli for two decades, and its economy has still has not
recovered.
As time passes, it will become apparent to all but the dullards that
these interventions were non-helpful and actually harmful. Most
understand economics only experientially. Events as discussed in the
following post by Rolfe Winkler today are what will continue to surface
with the passage of time and provide enough instances for the
experiential learners.
Besides being a terrible decision that will cost taxpayers dearly,
the article also talks about the unintended consequences of drawing
deposits away from smaller, solid banks to the weaker GMAC. The
unintended consequence is to weaken the stronger banks.
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